Sunday, February 3, 2013

NBLC ATTENDANCE AFFAIR



This time, I will make a study of public assistance which meets on a basketball court in the NBL of Canada. To do this, I will use a valuable source as "Weekley Report" and NBL Canada 2011/12 post-season guide made by Chuck Miller (statician League). Based on this source I have developed a series of graphs to analyze the attendance in this first part of the season 2012/13 and, in addition, they compare current data with the last season 2011/12. I have also added NBL of Canada attendance records which have already been published on the official blog of the league.

The goal I seek with this study is to conduct a comparative overall average attendance of the NBL of Canada in the 2012/13 (a date January 28, 2013) with the inaugural season 2011/12. Also, observe the balance of results franchises assistance if their average rise or fall, keep in mind, the number of franchises in the first year (7) and the current (8), and the change of the other (Kebs / Le Jazz).

On the other hand, I think it's interesting to do a study for franchise franchise, not surprisingly, each franchise has his idiosyncrasies and one must consider and refine the results or cold numbers. Finally, I propose a series of conclusions and offer my humble opinion from a distance of Spain (Atlantic Ocean in the middle) and from the proximity of the network. Now I can say that the results are not encouraging.


GENERAL COMPARISON
Obviously, I will use data relating because the current season is not over and that the number of franchises over the last season has changed, 7 franchises last season and 8 franchises in this season, plus the Relocation / folded the Kebs by Le Jazz. 

Currently, the average attendance at the courts of the 8 franchises NBL of Canada is a crowd of 1495. Around a crowd of 1500 people is a really really low, away from the 2500 average (indicator used by various owners) for a franchise is economically viable. However, one must consider these data as particular cases of Oshawa, Windsor and Montreal distort reality. Attendance returning franchises (Halifax, London, Summerside and Moncton and leaving aside the case of Oshawa) is somewhat above 2000 people per night (2079), which is still a bad data, but a reasonable data, keep in mind that the league is immersed in his second season.

THE OTHER STANDINGS 2012/13 (MID-SEASON)


The inaugural season had an average attendance of 1992 people, that is, has lowered the average attendance at 497 people (24'9 % less), almost one quarter of the crowd who have chosen to stay at home! Unless the Moncton Miracles "miraculous" case, which up almost 19 %, all the franchises lose attendance. Especially in the cases of bleeding Halifax and Summerside, which lost 24 and 22 % respectively. Last season four of the seven teams reached an average attendance that exceeded 2000 people, indeed, got beat Halifax line of 3,000 people per game. In so far this season, only two franchises (Halifax & London) jump the barrier of 2,000 attendees per night and up to 3 franchises, Windsor, Oshawa and Montreal ridiculous average attendance for the talent level of the NBL of Canada between 400 and 700 people, unsustainable.

Last season there were over 3000 people assists on 28 occasions. Halifax leads the ranking with 13 times over 3000 people, Summerside 6 times, London 5 times, Quebec on ??2 occasions, and Saint John and Oshawa once. 5 times are exceeded 4,000 attendees and on one occasion exceeded 5,000 people, oddly enough in a regular season game ... in Oshawa! In playoffs it would overcome the barrier of 5000 people in the fifth game of the final of the NBL of Canada in London. At end of article I add the list of attendance records in the league in their inaugural season. So far this regular season in current season reached only 9 times crowds of over 3000 people and is exceeded only once an attendance of 4000, in Halifax. Keep in mind that London and Halifax, franchises that draw more fans to the stands, only lack of play 9 home games will be impossible to match those numbers this season despite the increased number of games on the schedule.

ATTENDANCES LAST REGULAR SEASON 2011/2012



COMPARISON FOR FRANCHISES

In the bottom of the other standings; Oshawa Power, Windsor Express and Le Jazz de Montrel.
On this trio of franchises, only Oshawa Power returns for his second year, while Windsor and Montreal are expansion franchises. Each franchise has its own idiosyncrasies and distinctive features, begin by Oshawa. In this season, Oshawa averages below 400 fans at the General Motors Centre despite the great season and more than likely access to the play-offs. However, this average is inflated by the play to 2293 people, without this game, the average would be closer to 250. I've seen some games at General Motors Centre for streaming and see the stands so empty while 10 players and a head coach fighting a dogfight for the playoffs makes me feel bad for them and for basketball in Oshawa. Oshawa has lost public about last season, perhaps for the lack of enthusiasm of the fans of Oshawa for its basketball team, but it did not help that their owners do not do much to retain their best players or at least draw some valid player compensation, beyond cash considerations. Last season, Oshawa attracted an average of almost 1200 people, however, in the first 13 games averaged just 750 people. The last 5 games, where fighting for the playoffs against Saint John averaged over 2300 people, including the attendance record of 5542 people. I assured that Oshawa is a very deficient franchise which does not have the support of the fans of Durham, maybe the playoffs are the lifeline for the survival of the team, at least in Oshawa. If playoff attendance is so low no sense that the franchise will remain in Durham.

Windsor is an expansion franchise and the first years of any business are difficult. However, despite the presentation at home to 3100 fans, average fans in 10 games in WCFU centre is lower than expected, 695, worse even if we exclude the first game, only 427. Windsor was an old aspiration of the former CEO of the NBL of Canada, John Kennedy, seems a good market, near Detroit (Michigan) in USA and Toronto (Ontario). In my opinion, Express made ??a very competitive roster at the start of the season so they had to make moves (Duncan, Commons) and have recovered Surmacz. They have 10 games at home to try to rush the playoffs and unlikely to attract people to a deserted WFCU.

Montreal's case is more extreme. They emerged at the last minute to replace a folded Kebs. No time for a promotion for season ticket sales, and the failure of the season (17-game losing streak line), together with little affection for the city of Montreal for its basketball teams, are facts that confirm the presence of low public at the Centre Pierre Charbonneau. Except for the data of 1900 people in the first game, come together in the stands around 300 people on average, even a couple of games barely reach a hundred fans. Montreal has failed (again) with his basketball team and the fans. Something that was expected.

ATTENDANCES CURRENT REGULAR SEASON (2012/13)


Miracle in Moncton
Moncton is the only franchise that has managed to increase their mass of fans in 317 people (1357 to 1674), on average, almost 19% increase. However, they are far from the magic number of 2,000 people. The low attendance last season may be because the franchise was built a few months into the NBL of Canada and there was little time to present the team to the community and, in addition, they started the season 0-11. This year they have attracted more than 2000 fans in 3 times (including the last 2 games), while last season they nor approached this figure in a season to forget. This season Miracles have a better team with potential for higher levels, but a series of losing streak has caused the dismissal of head coach Ricky Benitez, first, and now playoff loss.

The Storm clears
Summerside's case is very unique. Last season the team had a pretty good average attendance (2489) for a franchise in its first year, more so when the team fell short of the playoffs. In the last 8 games at home, Summerside averaged over 3100 people, with 6 games with crowds of more than 3000 and even the last 2 games at home over 4000 people. In this past offseason, Summerside fans convinced the owners of the franchise team to remain in his city and not be relocated in Charlotetown. However, this season, despite the team's season huge, capable of facing the champions London Lightning, fans are not responding to the expectations (1928). In fact, Storm, undisputed leaders of their division and main alternative to unseat the current champions, are losing affluence in their court, not in vain, in recent home games they have stagnated at an average of 1700 people. Certainly inexplicable.

George Foreman, take your family to the Harbour Station!
This is the third season of the Saint John Mill Rats (the first in the PBL) and the average attendance is slightly lower than the attendance of last season, 2124 to 1980. Last season they won 10 times in the Harbour Station arena had more than 2000 people, including up to 3539 in the last game of the regular season, where they were played in accessing the playoffs for the first time (In Saint John). This year the team's season, a roller coaster and many players movements, has moved away the public from the court, but they have hopes of finishing the regular season making the number of 2,000 people on average due to improved attendances in recent games. Saint John is one of the founding franchises of the NBL of Canada that has not finished building a championship team, resulting in a loss of interest from their fans.

Wanted lightnings lost in the gardens
London Lightning had the best season possible for an expansion franchise, unbeatable team, championship game in the playoffs off before more than 5100 fans and an average of 2554 people covering expectations viability of the franchise in its first year. However, the second year is harder than the first and they have the difficult task of overcoming a great inaugural season. Perhaps the London Lightning bulky superiority over their rivals, the winning streak with a record of 11-0 cause in the first 10 games at home were slightly above the 2000 people (1970 if we do not count the first game at home ). The fans are used to winning and have relaxed. Anyway, the second part of the season at home to London Lightning tends to attract a wider audience to the court with games before more than 3000 people, as last season and approach the average of the previous season.

ATTENDANCES LAST PLAYOFFS 2011/12


Halifax Metro Centre less and less leaky
Halifax Rainmen is the franchise with more years of existence since its founding in 2006, through the ABA (one season), PBL (3 seasons) and currently in NBLC (second season). Halifax is a very stable franchise and built on a mass of fans fairly consistent over recent years. However, the franchise has been the Nova Scotia that has suffered the greatest decline in the Halifax Metro Centre afiionados going to average 3275 fans last season, averaging 2,483 fans in the season, ie a 24.2% less compared to last year. Last season, Halifax Rainmen never dropped below 2,000 people per night, is, in 13 of the 18 home games exceeded the 3000 fans, including two nights hosted more than 4000 fans. No doubt, fans were spurred by the great game both offensive and defensive team led by head coach Pep Claros. For the first time in a while the fans were treated to a true championship team, solid, with an attractive game and achieved the record of 9 wins streak (now surpassed by London). Halifax agreed to playoff second placed and not by the back door as other years, and came to battle with the intractable Lightning playing an epic final which they lost 3-2. These events led fans approaching the Halifax Metro Centre where they could see some players whose faces were known and would fight for a championship for the first time in its history. Unfortunately, the NBL of Cabada also suffers the ills of the minor leagues, where it seems that only live for today and do not be medium-term project. Understandably, Halifax Rainmen dismantled the championship team built months ago to build a number of houses of cards. There was no sign of the finalist team except Joey Haywood, a fact that angered fans, plus the start of the season was far below the expectations created. The head coach, Cliff Levingston, was fired and returned the dreaded revolving door, 22 players movements and Rob Spon. The team has assembled a very talented group of players, but has thrown away by midseason. Halifax has not proved to be a consistent team, not if it will be a strong team to enter the playoffs with guarantees in a dog fight against Saint John. Amidst all this, the fans stop buying tickets and season tickets. Add a link to the article from the Chronicle Herald journalist Chris Cochrane on the causes of the drop in attendance at Metro Centre.


In conclusion, I think that is notorious and widespread decline in the courts of fans of the NBL teams of Canada. They can sign as many causes crazy schedule of games at home and on the road, perhaps due to the availability of the court. In many cases it may take 10 or more days for an amateur can return to see his team at home. The loss of competitiveness of teams to rival for the superiority of London Lightning in the fight for the title of the NBL of Canada. In my opinion this role should assume Mill Rats and Rainmen, but not championship teams, the hope is Summerside Storm. Kebs folded has not helped, they were a very competitive team.The numerous (and incessant) roster changes from one season to another to make it impossible for the fans recognize the players of his team. I acknowledge that it is difficult to return your best players every year because they get good contracts overseas, but have a head coach for several seasons helps build a team. Michael Ray Richardson takes getting in their Successes years of coaching and the excellent work of Joseph Salerno begins to bear fruit in Summerside. There are canadian cities, simply, turning their backs on their basketball team and we observe how the games are played NBL of Canada in empty arenas. Some fans want to see in court to former college stars of the city, but the few former college stars who have managed to make room on the roster have limited or no presence on the court.

I think the decline of amateur tennis is a serious problem that must be solved in the league, starting to respond to cases of Oshawa and especially Montreal, I think Windsor will improve their attendance and will be better in his second season. The second solution should be better able to lease the cuts and less crazy schedule. Finally some measures to increase the participation of Canadians in court without degrading the talent.

On the other hand, I think I will continue with this blog until end of season, but I can not assure their existence beyond this season. The blog requires dedication increasingly important and I'm not sure I could give it another season long. However, I will take a decision in the next season. I will keep you informed. Thank you.

NBL CANADA ATTENDANCE RECORDS (LAST SEASON)
1. 5542 General Motors Centre, Saint John at Oshawa, 01/26/12
2. 5106 John Labatt Centre, Halifax at London, 03/25/12 PO
3. 4562 Halifax MetroCentre, London at Halifax, 02/19/12
4. 4301 Halifax MetroCentre, Saint John at Halifax, 02/24/12
5. 4064 Consolidated Credit Union Place, Oshawa at Summerside, 03/02/12
6. 4017 Consolidated Credit Union Place, Quebec at Summerside, 02/20/12
7. 3933 Halifax MetroCentre, London at Halifax, 03/21/12 PO
8. 3932 Halifax MetroCentre, Saint John at Halifax, 01/14/12
9. 3919 John Labatt Centre, Saint John at London, 03/09/12 PO
10. 3864 Halifax MetroCentre, Moncton at Halifax, 03/01/12
11. 3842 Halifax MetroCentre, London at Halifax, 03/22/12 PO
12. 3733 John Labatt Centre, Quebec at London, 03/01/12
13. 3654 Halifax MetroCentre, Oshawa at Halifax, 01/01/12
14. 3614 John Labatt Centre, Halifax at London, 11/03/11
15. 3564 Halifax MetroCentre, Saint John at Halifax, 11/18/11
16. 3539 Harbour Station, Halifax at Saint John, 03/04/12
17. 3523 Pavillion de la Jeunesse, Halifax at Quebec, 02/26/12
18. 3409 Consolidated Credit Union Place, Halifax at Summerside, 01/26/12
19. 3302 Halifax MetroCentre, Summerside at Halifax, 01/28/12
20. 3296 Consolidated Credit Union Place, Saint John at Summerside, 12/31/11

Entries in bold indicate NBL attendance record for that specific team / building.
PO indicates playoff game.
Source: NBL of Canada 2011-12 Post-Season Guide by Chuck Miller (League Statician)

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